United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в России
Победитель парламентских выборов в России
Единая Россия (ЕР) 99.0%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Новые люди (НЛ) <1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП) <1%
$3,765,917 Объем
$3,765,917 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
99%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Яблоко
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 99.0%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Новые люди (НЛ) <1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП) <1%
$3,765,917 Объем
$3,765,917 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$1,202,543 Объем
99%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$213,382 Объем
1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$168,968 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$742,262 Объем
<1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$258,215 Объем
<1%
Родина
$505,710 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$604,433 Объем
<1%
Яблоко
$70,405 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$3,765,917Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$3,765,917Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Займут ли «Новые люди» (НЛ) четвертое место по количеству мест на следующих парламентских выборах в России?
46%
Да
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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