Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Smucker’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 90 percent Republican consensus reflected in current trader positioning. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, while no recent polling shifts, major endorsements, or campaign events have altered the race’s fundamentals. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with historical base rates for similarly situated incumbents. Democratic efforts remain constrained by the district’s partisan composition and limited reported fundraising or organizational momentum to date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
PA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,782 Объем
$14,782 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
90%
Демократическая партия
9%
$14,782 Объем
$14,782 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,832 Объем
90%
Демократическая партия
$4,950 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Smucker’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 90 percent Republican consensus reflected in current trader positioning. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, while no recent polling shifts, major endorsements, or campaign events have altered the race’s fundamentals. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with historical base rates for similarly situated incumbents. Democratic efforts remain constrained by the district’s partisan composition and limited reported fundraising or organizational momentum to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$14,782Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Smucker’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 90 percent Republican consensus reflected in current trader positioning. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, while no recent polling shifts, major endorsements, or campaign events have altered the race’s fundamentals. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with historical base rates for similarly situated incumbents. Democratic efforts remain constrained by the district’s partisan composition and limited reported fundraising or organizational momentum to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,782Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Smucker’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 90 percent Republican consensus reflected in current trader positioning. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without significant opposition, while no recent polling shifts, major endorsements, or campaign events have altered the race’s fundamentals. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with historical base rates for similarly situated incumbents. Democratic efforts remain constrained by the district’s partisan composition and limited reported fundraising or organizational momentum to date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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