LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district's strong Democratic composition across Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent cycles have delivered margins exceeding 50 points for the party. As the incumbent who first won the seat in a 2024 special election, McIver secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, running unopposed in his primary after previous general election losses in the same district, faces structural barriers typical of this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments—such as ongoing federal proceedings against McIver—showing minimal impact on local voter support ahead of the November ballot. Unforeseen events like major scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns suggest narrow pathways for change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$50,496 Объем
$50,496 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
ЛаМоника МакАйвер (Д)
95%
Кармен Букко (Р)
4%
$50,496 Объем
$50,496 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
ЛаМоника МакАйвер (Д)
$14,025 Объем
95%
Кармен Букко (Р)
$36,471 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district's strong Democratic composition across Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent cycles have delivered margins exceeding 50 points for the party. As the incumbent who first won the seat in a 2024 special election, McIver secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, running unopposed in his primary after previous general election losses in the same district, faces structural barriers typical of this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments—such as ongoing federal proceedings against McIver—showing minimal impact on local voter support ahead of the November ballot. Unforeseen events like major scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns suggest narrow pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$50,496Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district's strong Democratic composition across Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent cycles have delivered margins exceeding 50 points for the party. As the incumbent who first won the seat in a 2024 special election, McIver secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, running unopposed in his primary after previous general election losses in the same district, faces structural barriers typical of this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments—such as ongoing federal proceedings against McIver—showing minimal impact on local voter support ahead of the November ballot. Unforeseen events like major scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns suggest narrow pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$50,496Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district's strong Democratic composition across Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent cycles have delivered margins exceeding 50 points for the party. As the incumbent who first won the seat in a 2024 special election, McIver secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 84 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, running unopposed in his primary after previous general election losses in the same district, faces structural barriers typical of this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments—such as ongoing federal proceedings against McIver—showing minimal impact on local voter support ahead of the November ballot. Unforeseen events like major scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns suggest narrow pathways for change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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