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Политика·Педро Санчес

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Политика·Педро Санчес

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Исабель Диас Аюсо 4.7%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Объем

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Исабель Диас Аюсо 4.7%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Объем

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$28,751 Объем

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$20,496 Объем

10%

icon for Исабель Диас Аюсо

Исабель Диас Аюсо

$7,171 Объем

5%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$12,407 Объем

4%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,181 Объем

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,673 Объем

<1%

icon for Оскар Пуэнте

Оскар Пуэнте

$2,972 Объем

<1%

icon for Карлос Куэрпо

Карлос Куэрпо

$3,162 Объем

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,271 Объем

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,723 Объем

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,786 Объем

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,560 Объем

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,211 Объем

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,188 Объем

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,191 Объем

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,045 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$121,787
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$121,787
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

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Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

50%
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Будет ли Александру Назаре следующим премьер-министром Румынии?

44%
Да
icon for Станет ли Кириакос Мицотакис следующим премьер-министром Греции?

Станет ли Кириакос Мицотакис следующим премьер-министром Греции?

80%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Prime Minister of Spain?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Alberto Núñez Feijóo» с 80%, за ним следует «Pedro Sánchez» с 10%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 80¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $121.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Prime Minister of Spain?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» — «Alberto Núñez Feijóo» с 80%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Pedro Sánchez» с 10%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.