Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 1 сентября?
13°C 37%
14°C 32%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
4%
10°C
10%
11°C
8%
12°C
15%
13°C
37%
14°C
32%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C или выше
2%
13°C 37%
14°C 32%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
10°C
$41 Объем
10%
11°C
$58 Объем
8%
12°C
$0 Объем
15%
13°C
$121 Объем
37%
14°C
$126 Объем
32%
15°C
$0 Объем
14%
16°C
$0 Объем
11%
17°C
$0 Объем
8%
18°C
$10 Объем
8%
19°C или выше
$10 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$367Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$367Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы