Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 30 августа?
17°C 99.4%
16°C 3%
12°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 Объем
$7,548 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
17°C 99.4%
16°C 3%
12°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 Объем
$7,548 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$358 Объем
<1%
13°C
$406 Объем
<1%
14°C
$158 Объем
<1%
15°C
$405 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,212 Объем
3%
17°C
$1,988 Объем
99%
18°C
$1,758 Объем
<1%
19°C
$785 Объем
<1%
20°C
$158 Объем
<1%
21°C
$274 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$45 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$7,548Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,548Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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