Skip to main content
icon for Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?

авг. 30

авг. 31

сент. 1

авг. 30

авг. 31

сент. 1

17°C 68%

16°C 19%

18°C 12%

15°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

17°C 68%

16°C 19%

18°C 12%

15°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

12°C или ниже

$52 Объем

<1%

13°C

$65 Объем

1%

14°C

$57 Объем

5%

15°C

$0 Объем

5%

16°C

$237 Объем

19%

17°C

$1,010 Объем

68%

18°C

$231 Объем

12%

19°C

$0 Объем

3%

20°C

$5 Объем

4%

21°C

$65 Объем

1%

22°C или выше

$52 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,774
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,774
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли минимальная температура в Париже 17°C 30 августа?

Будет ли минимальная температура в Париже 17°C 30 августа?

98%
Да
icon for Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?

53%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 30?

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 30?

75%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «17°C» с 68%, за ним следует «16°C» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 68¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 29, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?» — «17°C» с 68%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Следующий ближайший исход — «16°C» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Париже 31 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.