**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple agencies have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds have limited daytime heating while maintaining high humidity near 85-90%, consistent with typical late-August subtropical conditions. Historical baselines for the period show averages around 30-32°C, with recent model runs from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services aligning closely on this peak before evening cooling. The market reflects trader assessment of these data rather than a guarantee, as final official station readings or minor forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high within a narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 30 августа?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,521 Объем
$45,521 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,521 Объем
$45,521 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$453 Объем
<1%
26°C
$903 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,586 Объем
<1%
28°C
$6,713 Объем
<1%
29°C
$7,529 Объем
<1%
30°C
$9,156 Объем
<1%
31°C
$7,447 Объем
100%
32°C
$5,671 Объем
<1%
33°C
$3,597 Объем
<1%
34°C
$1,366 Объем
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,100 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple agencies have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds have limited daytime heating while maintaining high humidity near 85-90%, consistent with typical late-August subtropical conditions. Historical baselines for the period show averages around 30-32°C, with recent model runs from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services aligning closely on this peak before evening cooling. The market reflects trader assessment of these data rather than a guarantee, as final official station readings or minor forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$45,521Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple agencies have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds have limited daytime heating while maintaining high humidity near 85-90%, consistent with typical late-August subtropical conditions. Historical baselines for the period show averages around 30-32°C, with recent model runs from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services aligning closely on this peak before evening cooling. The market reflects trader assessment of these data rather than a guarantee, as final official station readings or minor forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$45,521Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple agencies have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds have limited daytime heating while maintaining high humidity near 85-90%, consistent with typical late-August subtropical conditions. Historical baselines for the period show averages around 30-32°C, with recent model runs from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services aligning closely on this peak before evening cooling. The market reflects trader assessment of these data rather than a guarantee, as final official station readings or minor forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high within a narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы