Market-implied odds place the highest probability (33.5%) on a 74-75°F low for Austin on September 1, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a classic late-summer high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. Several bins clustered near 24-25% reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle return-flow influences from the Gulf, while lower probabilities for 68°F or below align with climatological norms that rarely see such readings this early. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 1 сентября?
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
12%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
20%
86°F или выше
48%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$0 Объем
12%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
18%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
49%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
49%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
36%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
25%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
49%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
49%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
49%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
20%
86°F или выше
$0 Объем
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place the highest probability (33.5%) on a 74-75°F low for Austin on September 1, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a classic late-summer high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. Several bins clustered near 24-25% reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle return-flow influences from the Gulf, while lower probabilities for 68°F or below align with climatological norms that rarely see such readings this early. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place the highest probability (33.5%) on a 74-75°F low for Austin on September 1, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a classic late-summer high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. Several bins clustered near 24-25% reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle return-flow influences from the Gulf, while lower probabilities for 68°F or below align with climatological norms that rarely see such readings this early. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds place the highest probability (33.5%) on a 74-75°F low for Austin on September 1, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a classic late-summer high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 95°F. Several bins clustered near 24-25% reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle return-flow influences from the Gulf, while lower probabilities for 68°F or below align with climatological norms that rarely see such readings this early. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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