**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and early observations show cloudy skies with morning rain limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or at 26°C, well below the seasonal normal of ~30°C. Recent model runs and surface reports confirm suppressed temperatures under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow, consistent with the day's observed peak. This positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative monitoring rather than speculation. A late-day spike above 27°C or revision in the final JMA summary could still shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 30 августа?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$69,736 Объем
$69,736 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$69,736 Объем
$69,736 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$2,920 Объем
<1%
24°C
$5,589 Объем
<1%
25°C
$9,025 Объем
<1%
26°C
$10,873 Объем
100%
27°C
$9,229 Объем
1%
28°C
$9,181 Объем
<1%
29°C
$6,546 Объем
<1%
30°C
$5,039 Объем
<1%
31°C
$1,255 Объем
<1%
32°C
$2,650 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,428 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and early observations show cloudy skies with morning rain limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or at 26°C, well below the seasonal normal of ~30°C. Recent model runs and surface reports confirm suppressed temperatures under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow, consistent with the day's observed peak. This positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative monitoring rather than speculation. A late-day spike above 27°C or revision in the final JMA summary could still shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$69,736Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and early observations show cloudy skies with morning rain limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or at 26°C, well below the seasonal normal of ~30°C. Recent model runs and surface reports confirm suppressed temperatures under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow, consistent with the day's observed peak. This positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative monitoring rather than speculation. A late-day spike above 27°C or revision in the final JMA summary could still shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$69,736Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and early observations show cloudy skies with morning rain limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near or at 26°C, well below the seasonal normal of ~30°C. Recent model runs and surface reports confirm suppressed temperatures under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow, consistent with the day's observed peak. This positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative monitoring rather than speculation. A late-day spike above 27°C or revision in the final JMA summary could still shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы