Forecast models and observational data from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate Manila's daytime maximum on August 30 will reach approximately 30°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80-90%, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms that limit solar heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs hover near 30-31°C amid consistent moisture and convection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus across multiple runs, with minimal model spread. A sudden break in cloud cover or suppressed rainfall could push readings slightly higher, while intensified downpours might cap the peak below the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 30 августа?
30°C 100.0%
24°C или ниже <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,981 Объем
$28,981 Объем
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
30°C 100.0%
24°C или ниже <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,981 Объем
$28,981 Объем
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate Manila's daytime maximum on August 30 will reach approximately 30°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80-90%, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms that limit solar heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs hover near 30-31°C amid consistent moisture and convection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus across multiple runs, with minimal model spread. A sudden break in cloud cover or suppressed rainfall could push readings slightly higher, while intensified downpours might cap the peak below the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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