Recent forecasts from major models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern France, with light northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating to produce a maximum near 23°C on September 1. Partly cloudy conditions will moderate solar insolation while clear intervals support modest warming, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical highs of 22–24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 23°C and 24°C because ensemble runs show only minor spread around these values, with limited upside potential from stronger insolation or downslope warming and downside risk from increased cloud cover or earlier frontal influence. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 1 сентября?
23°C 42%
24°C 33%
22°C 14%
25°C 8%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
42%
24°C
33%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
24°C 33%
22°C 14%
25°C 8%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
42%
24°C
33%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern France, with light northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating to produce a maximum near 23°C on September 1. Partly cloudy conditions will moderate solar insolation while clear intervals support modest warming, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical highs of 22–24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 23°C and 24°C because ensemble runs show only minor spread around these values, with limited upside potential from stronger insolation or downslope warming and downside risk from increased cloud cover or earlier frontal influence. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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