Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чунцине 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Чунцине 26 августа?
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 60%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
60%
23°C
43%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
60%
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 60%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$0 Объем
60%
23°C
$0 Объем
43%
24°C
$0 Объем
49%
25°C
$0 Объем
49%
26°C
$0 Объем
49%
27°C
$0 Объем
26%
28°C
$0 Объем
26%
29°C
$0 Объем
25%
30°C
$0 Объем
49%
31°C
$0 Объем
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Объем
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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