**Official observations from Chicago O'Hare recorded a minimum temperature of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 AM CDT, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 74.5% implied probability.** Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow maintained elevated dew points and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 63°F. Highs reached 92°F amid the same air mass, consistent with model guidance emphasizing minimal temperature fall. Traders priced in this outcome based on real-time NWS data and forecast consensus showing little deviation from the mid-70s floor, with lower-probability ranges reflecting residual uncertainty in exact station readings or microclimate effects before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чикаго 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чикаго 4 сентября?
76-77°F 97%
68-69°F 59%
74-75°F 47%
67°F или ниже 42%
$1,989 Объем
$1,989 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
42%
68-69°F
59%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
75%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 97%
68-69°F 59%
74-75°F 47%
67°F или ниже 42%
$1,989 Объем
$1,989 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$75 Объем
42%
68-69°F
$27 Объем
59%
70-71°F
$27 Объем
2%
72-73°F
$15 Объем
2%
74-75°F
$15 Объем
47%
76-77°F
$29 Объем
75%
78-79°F
$1,174 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$162 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$107 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$97 Объем
<1%
86°F или выше
$262 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Chicago O'Hare recorded a minimum temperature of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 AM CDT, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 74.5% implied probability.**
Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow maintained elevated dew points and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 63°F. Highs reached 92°F amid the same air mass, consistent with model guidance emphasizing minimal temperature fall. Traders priced in this outcome based on real-time NWS data and forecast consensus showing little deviation from the mid-70s floor, with lower-probability ranges reflecting residual uncertainty in exact station readings or microclimate effects before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,989Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Chicago O'Hare recorded a minimum temperature of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 AM CDT, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 74.5% implied probability.**
Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow maintained elevated dew points and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 63°F. Highs reached 92°F amid the same air mass, consistent with model guidance emphasizing minimal temperature fall. Traders priced in this outcome based on real-time NWS data and forecast consensus showing little deviation from the mid-70s floor, with lower-probability ranges reflecting residual uncertainty in exact station readings or microclimate effects before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,989Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from Chicago O'Hare recorded a minimum temperature of 76°F on September 4, 2026, at 5:52 AM CDT, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 74.5% implied probability.** Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow maintained elevated dew points and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 63°F. Highs reached 92°F amid the same air mass, consistent with model guidance emphasizing minimal temperature fall. Traders priced in this outcome based on real-time NWS data and forecast consensus showing little deviation from the mid-70s floor, with lower-probability ranges reflecting residual uncertainty in exact station readings or microclimate effects before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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