**Trader consensus has locked onto a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 5, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from Wellington International Airport and central stations that peaked at 15°C under strong northwesterly flow.** Multiple forecast models, including those from MetService-aligned sources and international guidance, converged on this value days earlier, with afternoon readings consistently reaching but not exceeding the threshold amid windy, mostly cloudy conditions and dew points in the 8–10°C range. Historical September climatology for the region places typical highs near 13–14°C, so the observed peak aligns with a modest warm anomaly driven by the prevailing wind pattern. Resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature records leave little room for alternative outcomes unless post-event quality-control adjustments alter the certified high, an infrequent occurrence for well-monitored urban stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 5 сентября?
15°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
$55,583 Объем
$55,583 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
15°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
$55,583 Объем
$55,583 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$250 Объем
<1%
11°C
$403 Объем
<1%
12°C
$324 Объем
<1%
13°C
$1,458 Объем
<1%
14°C
$11,551 Объем
<1%
15°C
$13,352 Объем
100%
16°C
$17,717 Объем
1%
17°C
$5,762 Объем
<1%
18°C
$4,358 Объем
<1%
19°C
$177 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$231 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 5, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from Wellington International Airport and central stations that peaked at 15°C under strong northwesterly flow.** Multiple forecast models, including those from MetService-aligned sources and international guidance, converged on this value days earlier, with afternoon readings consistently reaching but not exceeding the threshold amid windy, mostly cloudy conditions and dew points in the 8–10°C range. Historical September climatology for the region places typical highs near 13–14°C, so the observed peak aligns with a modest warm anomaly driven by the prevailing wind pattern. Resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature records leave little room for alternative outcomes unless post-event quality-control adjustments alter the certified high, an infrequent occurrence for well-monitored urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$55,583Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 5, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from Wellington International Airport and central stations that peaked at 15°C under strong northwesterly flow.** Multiple forecast models, including those from MetService-aligned sources and international guidance, converged on this value days earlier, with afternoon readings consistently reaching but not exceeding the threshold amid windy, mostly cloudy conditions and dew points in the 8–10°C range. Historical September climatology for the region places typical highs near 13–14°C, so the observed peak aligns with a modest warm anomaly driven by the prevailing wind pattern. Resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature records leave little room for alternative outcomes unless post-event quality-control adjustments alter the certified high, an infrequent occurrence for well-monitored urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$55,583Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked onto a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 5, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from Wellington International Airport and central stations that peaked at 15°C under strong northwesterly flow.** Multiple forecast models, including those from MetService-aligned sources and international guidance, converged on this value days earlier, with afternoon readings consistently reaching but not exceeding the threshold amid windy, mostly cloudy conditions and dew points in the 8–10°C range. Historical September climatology for the region places typical highs near 13–14°C, so the observed peak aligns with a modest warm anomaly driven by the prevailing wind pattern. Resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature records leave little room for alternative outcomes unless post-event quality-control adjustments alter the certified high, an infrequent occurrence for well-monitored urban stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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