Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like MetService points to a daily maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 6, driven by persistent northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and typical early-spring climatology where September averages hover near 14°C. Trader sentiment favoring 15°C (53%) or 16°C (36%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, and historical variability in maximum temperature reports from the official station. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research will clarify whether steering patterns shift enough to push the high above 15°C before the front arrives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 6 сентября?
15°C 53%
16°C 37%
14°C 7%
17°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$13,402 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,402 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
53%
16°C
37%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 53%
16°C 37%
14°C 7%
17°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$13,402 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,402 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$199 Объем
<1%
10°C
$189 Объем
<1%
11°C
$374 Объем
<1%
12°C
$385 Объем
<1%
13°C
$530 Объем
1%
14°C
$4,659 Объем
7%
15°C
$3,285 Объем
53%
16°C
$2,347 Объем
37%
17°C
$920 Объем
3%
18°C
$109 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$405 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like MetService points to a daily maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 6, driven by persistent northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and typical early-spring climatology where September averages hover near 14°C. Trader sentiment favoring 15°C (53%) or 16°C (36%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, and historical variability in maximum temperature reports from the official station. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research will clarify whether steering patterns shift enough to push the high above 15°C before the front arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$13,402Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like MetService points to a daily maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 6, driven by persistent northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and typical early-spring climatology where September averages hover near 14°C. Trader sentiment favoring 15°C (53%) or 16°C (36%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, and historical variability in maximum temperature reports from the official station. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research will clarify whether steering patterns shift enough to push the high above 15°C before the front arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,402Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like MetService points to a daily maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 6, driven by persistent northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and typical early-spring climatology where September averages hover near 14°C. Trader sentiment favoring 15°C (53%) or 16°C (36%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, and historical variability in maximum temperature reports from the official station. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research will clarify whether steering patterns shift enough to push the high above 15°C before the front arrives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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