Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 33–35 °C in Milan today under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 30–40 percent. This setup, driven by persistent high pressure and warm advection, supports the market’s strong preference for 33 °C (59 percent implied probability) and 32 °C (29.5 percent). Afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum, with minor model spread and local urban heat effects introducing limited uncertainty. Historical early-September maxima average near 26 °C, so current conditions represent an above-normal warm spell that has stabilized trader consensus ahead of final readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 5 сентября?
33°C 61%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 3.8%
$47,693 Объем
$47,693 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
33%
33°C
61%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 33%
34°C 7%
31°C 3.8%
$47,693 Объем
$47,693 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$11,540 Объем
<1%
29°C
$5,188 Объем
<1%
30°C
$2,040 Объем
<1%
31°C
$3,442 Объем
4%
32°C
$5,729 Объем
33%
33°C
$8,821 Объем
61%
34°C
$4,400 Объем
7%
35°C
$2,658 Объем
2%
36°C
$1,491 Объем
<1%
37°C
$1,256 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$1,130 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 33–35 °C in Milan today under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 30–40 percent. This setup, driven by persistent high pressure and warm advection, supports the market’s strong preference for 33 °C (59 percent implied probability) and 32 °C (29.5 percent). Afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum, with minor model spread and local urban heat effects introducing limited uncertainty. Historical early-September maxima average near 26 °C, so current conditions represent an above-normal warm spell that has stabilized trader consensus ahead of final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$47,693Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 33–35 °C in Milan today under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 30–40 percent. This setup, driven by persistent high pressure and warm advection, supports the market’s strong preference for 33 °C (59 percent implied probability) and 32 °C (29.5 percent). Afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum, with minor model spread and local urban heat effects introducing limited uncertainty. Historical early-September maxima average near 26 °C, so current conditions represent an above-normal warm spell that has stabilized trader consensus ahead of final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$47,693Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 33–35 °C in Milan today under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 30–40 percent. This setup, driven by persistent high pressure and warm advection, supports the market’s strong preference for 33 °C (59 percent implied probability) and 32 °C (29.5 percent). Afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum, with minor model spread and local urban heat effects introducing limited uncertainty. Historical early-September maxima average near 26 °C, so current conditions represent an above-normal warm spell that has stabilized trader consensus ahead of final readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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