Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a 31°C maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 4, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this peak amid typical late-summer conditions. Regional model runs showed stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Historical September baselines for the area average near 30–32°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 31°C. While sensor calibration adjustments or microscale variations could theoretically shift the final reported value, the alignment of verified station data leaves little room for alternative outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
$201,987 Объем
$201,987 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
$201,987 Объем
$201,987 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$15,994 Объем
<1%
24°C
$214 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,388 Объем
<1%
26°C
$2,013 Объем
<1%
27°C
$10,242 Объем
<1%
28°C
$15,262 Объем
<1%
29°C
$29,386 Объем
<1%
30°C
$32,203 Объем
<1%
31°C
$46,416 Объем
100%
32°C
$31,631 Объем
<1%
33°C или выше
$17,241 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a 31°C maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 4, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this peak amid typical late-summer conditions. Regional model runs showed stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Historical September baselines for the area average near 30–32°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 31°C. While sensor calibration adjustments or microscale variations could theoretically shift the final reported value, the alignment of verified station data leaves little room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$201,987Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a 31°C maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 4, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this peak amid typical late-summer conditions. Regional model runs showed stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Historical September baselines for the area average near 30–32°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 31°C. While sensor calibration adjustments or microscale variations could theoretically shift the final reported value, the alignment of verified station data leaves little room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$201,987Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a 31°C maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 4, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this peak amid typical late-summer conditions. Regional model runs showed stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Historical September baselines for the area average near 30–32°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 31°C. While sensor calibration adjustments or microscale variations could theoretically shift the final reported value, the alignment of verified station data leaves little room for alternative outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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