Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 сентября?
31°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 Объем
$43,432 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Да
32°C
Нет
33°C или выше
Нет
31°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 Объем
$43,432 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$4,509 Объем
Нет
24°C
$4,853 Объем
Нет
25°C
$1,617 Объем
Нет
26°C
$1,007 Объем
Нет
27°C
$1,263 Объем
Нет
28°C
$2,246 Объем
Нет
29°C
$3,373 Объем
Нет
30°C
$6,289 Объем
Нет
31°C
$5,035 Объем
Да
32°C
$5,234 Объем
Нет
33°C или выше
$8,005 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Объем
$43,432Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$43,432Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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