**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 5, 2026 minimum at 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under weak southerly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26–28°C absent strong frontal systems or tropical cyclone influence. Current model consensus and real-time observations support this narrow band, producing the market’s 98% implied probability for exactly 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northeast monsoon air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though neither is indicated in the latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 5 сентября?
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$33,232 Объем
$33,232 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$33,232 Объем
$33,232 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$158 Объем
<1%
21°C
$148 Объем
<1%
22°C
$158 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,520 Объем
<1%
24°C
$3,491 Объем
<1%
25°C
$4,260 Объем
1%
26°C
$9,566 Объем
2%
27°C
$12,221 Объем
98%
28°C
$1,166 Объем
<1%
29°C
$158 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$389 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 5, 2026 minimum at 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under weak southerly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26–28°C absent strong frontal systems or tropical cyclone influence. Current model consensus and real-time observations support this narrow band, producing the market’s 98% implied probability for exactly 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northeast monsoon air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though neither is indicated in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$33,232Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 5, 2026 minimum at 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under weak southerly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26–28°C absent strong frontal systems or tropical cyclone influence. Current model consensus and real-time observations support this narrow band, producing the market’s 98% implied probability for exactly 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northeast monsoon air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though neither is indicated in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$33,232Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 5, 2026 minimum at 27°C within a 27–32°C daily range under weak southerly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26–28°C absent strong frontal systems or tropical cyclone influence. Current model consensus and real-time observations support this narrow band, producing the market’s 98% implied probability for exactly 27°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northeast monsoon air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though neither is indicated in the latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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