Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
26°C 99.4%
20°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 Объем
$25,136 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
26°C 99.4%
20°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 Объем
$25,136 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$1,964 Объем
1%
21°C
$134 Объем
<1%
22°C
$558 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,569 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,615 Объем
<1%
25°C
$7,876 Объем
<1%
26°C
$4,574 Объем
99%
27°C
$2,962 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,691 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,034 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$160 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$25,136Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,136Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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