Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate light winds and partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for September 7, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C at the reference station. Weak pressure gradients limit mixing and advection, while moderate humidity and variable cloud cover moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. The northeast monsoon surge expected after the 10th has not yet influenced local steering or temperatures. These factors keep the 26°C and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on final observed minimum and any last-minute adjustments to cloud or wind guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 7 сентября?
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C или выше 14%
22°C или ниже
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C или выше
14%
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C или выше 14%
22°C или ниже
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C или выше
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate light winds and partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for September 7, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C at the reference station. Weak pressure gradients limit mixing and advection, while moderate humidity and variable cloud cover moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. The northeast monsoon surge expected after the 10th has not yet influenced local steering or temperatures. These factors keep the 26°C and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on final observed minimum and any last-minute adjustments to cloud or wind guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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