**Recent polling for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi party, holding steady at 7–8 seats across multiple surveys.** This range aligns with its current Knesset representation and reflects the party's narrow, stable base centered on yeshiva funding, draft exemptions, and religious authority. Ongoing coalition tensions over conscription legislation have kept UTJ's focus sectoral rather than broad, limiting volatility in its vote share. Recent candidate list finalization and bloc negotiations have not produced measurable shifts for the party, while broader right-wing and opposition realignments have primarily affected larger factions. Traders' consensus around 7–8 seats, with modest probability on 9–10, tracks these consistent projections and the limited upside or downside catalysts visible in the final campaign weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?
7-8 47%
9-10 35%
<7 23%
11+ 8%
<7
23%
7-8
47%
9-10
35%
11+
8%
7-8 47%
9-10 35%
<7 23%
11+ 8%
<7
23%
7-8
47%
9-10
35%
11+
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi party, holding steady at 7–8 seats across multiple surveys.** This range aligns with its current Knesset representation and reflects the party's narrow, stable base centered on yeshiva funding, draft exemptions, and religious authority. Ongoing coalition tensions over conscription legislation have kept UTJ's focus sectoral rather than broad, limiting volatility in its vote share. Recent candidate list finalization and bloc negotiations have not produced measurable shifts for the party, while broader right-wing and opposition realignments have primarily affected larger factions. Traders' consensus around 7–8 seats, with modest probability on 9–10, tracks these consistent projections and the limited upside or downside catalysts visible in the final campaign weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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