Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at four to six seats when running independently. This positioning stems from Arab voter fragmentation after Ra'am opted out of the Joint List formed by Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, alongside steady but limited support among Arab and some Jewish voters for its pragmatic coalition record. Talks over former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz joining the slate have not yet shifted averages beyond five seats in most surveys. Traders assign the highest probabilities to four or five seats because turnout among Arab citizens, competition from the Joint List, and any late list changes remain the main variables that could separate the outcome in either direction.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4 37%
5 31%
<4 8.0%
6 5.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
8%
4
37%
5
36%
6
6%
7
1%
8+
1%
4 37%
5 31%
<4 8.0%
6 5.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
$819 Объем
8%
4
$695 Объем
37%
5
$610 Объем
36%
6
$500 Объем
6%
7
$911 Объем
1%
8+
$825 Объем
1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at four to six seats when running independently. This positioning stems from Arab voter fragmentation after Ra'am opted out of the Joint List formed by Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, alongside steady but limited support among Arab and some Jewish voters for its pragmatic coalition record. Talks over former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz joining the slate have not yet shifted averages beyond five seats in most surveys. Traders assign the highest probabilities to four or five seats because turnout among Arab citizens, competition from the Joint List, and any late list changes remain the main variables that could separate the outcome in either direction.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$4,360Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at four to six seats when running independently. This positioning stems from Arab voter fragmentation after Ra'am opted out of the Joint List formed by Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, alongside steady but limited support among Arab and some Jewish voters for its pragmatic coalition record. Talks over former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz joining the slate have not yet shifted averages beyond five seats in most surveys. Traders assign the highest probabilities to four or five seats because turnout among Arab citizens, competition from the Joint List, and any late list changes remain the main variables that could separate the outcome in either direction.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$4,360Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at four to six seats when running independently. This positioning stems from Arab voter fragmentation after Ra'am opted out of the Joint List formed by Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, alongside steady but limited support among Arab and some Jewish voters for its pragmatic coalition record. Talks over former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz joining the slate have not yet shifted averages beyond five seats in most surveys. Traders assign the highest probabilities to four or five seats because turnout among Arab citizens, competition from the Joint List, and any late list changes remain the main variables that could separate the outcome in either direction.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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