Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit in a narrow band of 6–9 seats, reflecting steady but modest support for the far-right party led by Itamar Ben-Gvir amid broader right-bloc fragmentation. Recent surveys from late August and early September show results clustered around 7–8 seats, with minor swings tied to undecided voters, turnout among religious and nationalist constituencies, and competition from allied lists such as Religious Zionism. The market’s near-even pricing between the 6–7 and 8–9 ranges tracks this polling consistency alongside uncertainty over final candidate lists due September 8 and any late shifts in coalition dynamics or security developments that could consolidate or dilute the party’s base before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Израиле: количество мест в Otzma?
Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в Otzma?
8-9 36%
6-7 31%
4-5 18%
10+ 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
8%
4-5
18%
6-7
36%
8-9
36%
10+
16%
8-9 36%
6-7 31%
4-5 18%
10+ 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
$317 Объем
8%
4-5
$0 Объем
18%
6-7
$19 Объем
36%
8-9
$0 Объем
36%
10+
$0 Объем
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit in a narrow band of 6–9 seats, reflecting steady but modest support for the far-right party led by Itamar Ben-Gvir amid broader right-bloc fragmentation. Recent surveys from late August and early September show results clustered around 7–8 seats, with minor swings tied to undecided voters, turnout among religious and nationalist constituencies, and competition from allied lists such as Religious Zionism. The market’s near-even pricing between the 6–7 and 8–9 ranges tracks this polling consistency alongside uncertainty over final candidate lists due September 8 and any late shifts in coalition dynamics or security developments that could consolidate or dilute the party’s base before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$335Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit in a narrow band of 6–9 seats, reflecting steady but modest support for the far-right party led by Itamar Ben-Gvir amid broader right-bloc fragmentation. Recent surveys from late August and early September show results clustered around 7–8 seats, with minor swings tied to undecided voters, turnout among religious and nationalist constituencies, and competition from allied lists such as Religious Zionism. The market’s near-even pricing between the 6–7 and 8–9 ranges tracks this polling consistency alongside uncertainty over final candidate lists due September 8 and any late shifts in coalition dynamics or security developments that could consolidate or dilute the party’s base before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$335Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit in a narrow band of 6–9 seats, reflecting steady but modest support for the far-right party led by Itamar Ben-Gvir amid broader right-bloc fragmentation. Recent surveys from late August and early September show results clustered around 7–8 seats, with minor swings tied to undecided voters, turnout among religious and nationalist constituencies, and competition from allied lists such as Religious Zionism. The market’s near-even pricing between the 6–7 and 8–9 ranges tracks this polling consistency alongside uncertainty over final candidate lists due September 8 and any late shifts in coalition dynamics or security developments that could consolidate or dilute the party’s base before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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