Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6, exceeding expectations and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, underpins current trader positioning for the August reading. Broad-based gains in output, new orders, and employment—bolstered by AI-related capital spending, inventory restocking, and front-loading ahead of tariff and geopolitical pressures—sustain momentum in the sector. The closely matched probabilities across the 54.0–56.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether this pace moderates amid persistent input cost inflation and mixed signals from the S&P Global PMI near 53.9. Key upcoming catalyst is the September 1 release, with markets pricing continued expansion above 50 while allowing room for volatility around recent highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено55,0–55,9 28%
54,0–54,9 27%
56,0–56,9 16.6%
53,0–53,9 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
<51,0
1%
51,0–51,9
3%
52,0–52,9
8%
53,0–53,9
11%
54,0–54,9
27%
55,0–55,9
28%
56,0–56,9
17%
57,0–57,9
11%
58,0–58,9
8%
59,0+
4%
55,0–55,9 28%
54,0–54,9 27%
56,0–56,9 16.6%
53,0–53,9 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
<51,0
$178 Объем
1%
51,0–51,9
$173 Объем
3%
52,0–52,9
$90 Объем
8%
53,0–53,9
$172 Объем
11%
54,0–54,9
$2,299 Объем
27%
55,0–55,9
$6,613 Объем
28%
56,0–56,9
$145 Объем
17%
57,0–57,9
$133 Объем
11%
58,0–58,9
$104 Объем
8%
59,0+
$90 Объем
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6, exceeding expectations and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, underpins current trader positioning for the August reading. Broad-based gains in output, new orders, and employment—bolstered by AI-related capital spending, inventory restocking, and front-loading ahead of tariff and geopolitical pressures—sustain momentum in the sector. The closely matched probabilities across the 54.0–56.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether this pace moderates amid persistent input cost inflation and mixed signals from the S&P Global PMI near 53.9. Key upcoming catalyst is the September 1 release, with markets pricing continued expansion above 50 while allowing room for volatility around recent highs.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Объем
$9,996Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6, exceeding expectations and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, underpins current trader positioning for the August reading. Broad-based gains in output, new orders, and employment—bolstered by AI-related capital spending, inventory restocking, and front-loading ahead of tariff and geopolitical pressures—sustain momentum in the sector. The closely matched probabilities across the 54.0–56.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether this pace moderates amid persistent input cost inflation and mixed signals from the S&P Global PMI near 53.9. Key upcoming catalyst is the September 1 release, with markets pricing continued expansion above 50 while allowing room for volatility around recent highs.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$9,996Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6, exceeding expectations and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, underpins current trader positioning for the August reading. Broad-based gains in output, new orders, and employment—bolstered by AI-related capital spending, inventory restocking, and front-loading ahead of tariff and geopolitical pressures—sustain momentum in the sector. The closely matched probabilities across the 54.0–56.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether this pace moderates amid persistent input cost inflation and mixed signals from the S&P Global PMI near 53.9. Key upcoming catalyst is the September 1 release, with markets pricing continued expansion above 50 while allowing room for volatility around recent highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы