Recent weakening in U.S. labor market data is shaping trader positioning on July 2026 JOLTS job openings ahead of the September 1 release. June openings fell to 7.359 million, missing consensus, while July nonfarm payrolls contracted by 23,000 with sizable downward revisions to prior months and ADP private payrolls rising just 44,000. These outcomes point to softening demand for labor that could keep openings near or below the 7.3–7.4 million range. Market-implied odds remain diffuse across bins from sub-7.1 million to 7.7 million-plus, reflecting uncertainty over whether the cooldown will intensify or stabilize. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any shifts in Fed policy expectations, and sector-specific trends in healthcare and hospitality.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено7,2 млн – 7,3 млн 17%
7,4 млн–7,5 млн 16%
7,3 млн – 7,4 млн 15%
7,1 млн – 7,2 млн 13.4%
<7,1 млн
10%
7,1 млн – 7,2 млн
13%
7,2 млн – 7,3 млн
17%
7,3 млн – 7,4 млн
15%
7,4 млн–7,5 млн
16%
7,5 млн–7,6 млн
8%
7,6 млн – 7,7 млн
4%
7,7 млн+
1%
7,2 млн – 7,3 млн 17%
7,4 млн–7,5 млн 16%
7,3 млн – 7,4 млн 15%
7,1 млн – 7,2 млн 13.4%
<7,1 млн
10%
7,1 млн – 7,2 млн
13%
7,2 млн – 7,3 млн
17%
7,3 млн – 7,4 млн
15%
7,4 млн–7,5 млн
16%
7,5 млн–7,6 млн
8%
7,6 млн – 7,7 млн
4%
7,7 млн+
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakening in U.S. labor market data is shaping trader positioning on July 2026 JOLTS job openings ahead of the September 1 release. June openings fell to 7.359 million, missing consensus, while July nonfarm payrolls contracted by 23,000 with sizable downward revisions to prior months and ADP private payrolls rising just 44,000. These outcomes point to softening demand for labor that could keep openings near or below the 7.3–7.4 million range. Market-implied odds remain diffuse across bins from sub-7.1 million to 7.7 million-plus, reflecting uncertainty over whether the cooldown will intensify or stabilize. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any shifts in Fed policy expectations, and sector-specific trends in healthcare and hospitality.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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