The Illinois 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D rating from forecasters, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds support and enters the general against Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in a seat where Democrats have routinely posted margins exceeding 30 points. High educational attainment and suburban Chicago demographics have historically favored the party in recent cycles. While national shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the district's structural advantages and Quigley's incumbency make a Republican upset improbable absent major developments before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIL-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IL-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,235 Объем
$17,235 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$17,235 Объем
$17,235 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,787 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$8,448 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D rating from forecasters, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds support and enters the general against Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in a seat where Democrats have routinely posted margins exceeding 30 points. High educational attainment and suburban Chicago demographics have historically favored the party in recent cycles. While national shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the district's structural advantages and Quigley's incumbency make a Republican upset improbable absent major developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$17,235Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D rating from forecasters, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds support and enters the general against Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in a seat where Democrats have routinely posted margins exceeding 30 points. High educational attainment and suburban Chicago demographics have historically favored the party in recent cycles. While national shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the district's structural advantages and Quigley's incumbency make a Republican upset improbable absent major developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$17,235Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D rating from forecasters, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds support and enters the general against Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in a seat where Democrats have routinely posted margins exceeding 30 points. High educational attainment and suburban Chicago demographics have historically favored the party in recent cycles. While national shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the district's structural advantages and Quigley's incumbency make a Republican upset improbable absent major developments before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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