Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 33°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity around 60-70%, and limited cloud cover that supports daytime heating. This places the outcome near the boundary between 31°C and 32°C or higher, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 28% and 49.5%. Summer climatology shows August averages near 31°C, but current steering patterns and reduced precipitation chances favor values at or above the 32°C threshold. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 25 августа?
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
30°C 4%
22°C or below 3%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C or higher
50%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
30°C 4%
22°C or below 3%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 33°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity around 60-70%, and limited cloud cover that supports daytime heating. This places the outcome near the boundary between 31°C and 32°C or higher, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 28% and 49.5%. Summer climatology shows August averages near 31°C, but current steering patterns and reduced precipitation chances favor values at or above the 32°C threshold. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы