Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological updates points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and northerly winds associated with the peripheral circulation of Typhoon Shadel. These conditions limit daytime heating after peak August values exceeding 36°C earlier in the month and align with official forecasts showing highs near 31°C amid 25–40% rain chances. Trader positioning favoring 32°C (42.5%) and 33°C (32%) reflects this consensus with modest upside risk from model variability or brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for the stabilizing cool advection and precipitation expected through the day. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 31 августа?
32°C 43%
33°C 33%
31°C 17%
34°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
43%
33°C
33%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 33%
31°C 17%
34°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$366 Объем
<1%
28°C
$251 Объем
1%
29°C
$409 Объем
1%
30°C
$281 Объем
4%
31°C
$519 Объем
17%
32°C
$806 Объем
43%
33°C
$1,165 Объем
33%
34°C
$741 Объем
6%
35°C
$345 Объем
1%
36°C
$232 Объем
<1%
37°C or higher
$362 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological updates points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and northerly winds associated with the peripheral circulation of Typhoon Shadel. These conditions limit daytime heating after peak August values exceeding 36°C earlier in the month and align with official forecasts showing highs near 31°C amid 25–40% rain chances. Trader positioning favoring 32°C (42.5%) and 33°C (32%) reflects this consensus with modest upside risk from model variability or brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for the stabilizing cool advection and precipitation expected through the day. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$5,476Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological updates points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and northerly winds associated with the peripheral circulation of Typhoon Shadel. These conditions limit daytime heating after peak August values exceeding 36°C earlier in the month and align with official forecasts showing highs near 31°C amid 25–40% rain chances. Trader positioning favoring 32°C (42.5%) and 33°C (32%) reflects this consensus with modest upside risk from model variability or brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for the stabilizing cool advection and precipitation expected through the day. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,476Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological updates points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and northerly winds associated with the peripheral circulation of Typhoon Shadel. These conditions limit daytime heating after peak August values exceeding 36°C earlier in the month and align with official forecasts showing highs near 31°C amid 25–40% rain chances. Trader positioning favoring 32°C (42.5%) and 33°C (32%) reflects this consensus with modest upside risk from model variability or brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for the stabilizing cool advection and precipitation expected through the day. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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