Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 show a minimum near 25–26°C, driven by peripheral airflow from Typhoon Shadell promoting cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Official Chinese meteorological outlooks list overnight lows of 24–27°C amid 26–34°C daily ranges, with model consensus split on whether boundary-layer mixing or precipitation timing will allow a dip to 25°C versus stabilization near 26°C. This narrow band reflects genuine uncertainty in local steering patterns and moisture profiles, where even small shifts in wind or rainfall could alter the observed minimum by 1°C before official reporting closes the period. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 30 августа?
25°C 50%
26°C 46%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
$844 Объем
$844 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
50%
26°C
46%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 46%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
$844 Объем
$844 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$283 Объем
<1%
23°C
$81 Объем
2%
24°C
$92 Объем
5%
25°C
$0 Объем
50%
26°C
$14 Объем
46%
27°C
$238 Объем
1%
28°C
$20 Объем
<1%
29°C
$20 Объем
<1%
30°C
$35 Объем
<1%
31°C
$30 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$30 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 show a minimum near 25–26°C, driven by peripheral airflow from Typhoon Shadell promoting cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Official Chinese meteorological outlooks list overnight lows of 24–27°C amid 26–34°C daily ranges, with model consensus split on whether boundary-layer mixing or precipitation timing will allow a dip to 25°C versus stabilization near 26°C. This narrow band reflects genuine uncertainty in local steering patterns and moisture profiles, where even small shifts in wind or rainfall could alter the observed minimum by 1°C before official reporting closes the period. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$844Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 show a minimum near 25–26°C, driven by peripheral airflow from Typhoon Shadell promoting cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Official Chinese meteorological outlooks list overnight lows of 24–27°C amid 26–34°C daily ranges, with model consensus split on whether boundary-layer mixing or precipitation timing will allow a dip to 25°C versus stabilization near 26°C. This narrow band reflects genuine uncertainty in local steering patterns and moisture profiles, where even small shifts in wind or rainfall could alter the observed minimum by 1°C before official reporting closes the period. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$844Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 show a minimum near 25–26°C, driven by peripheral airflow from Typhoon Shadell promoting cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Official Chinese meteorological outlooks list overnight lows of 24–27°C amid 26–34°C daily ranges, with model consensus split on whether boundary-layer mixing or precipitation timing will allow a dip to 25°C versus stabilization near 26°C. This narrow band reflects genuine uncertainty in local steering patterns and moisture profiles, where even small shifts in wind or rainfall could alter the observed minimum by 1°C before official reporting closes the period. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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