Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a cooling trend driven by peripheral flows from typhoon activity, with expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds moderating temperatures on August 31. Official and model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS show overnight lows clustered around 24–25°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines near 24°C amid a recent heatwave easing. Scientific factors differentiating the closely matched market outcomes (22–27°C) include variable model consensus on precipitation timing, which affects radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing from sustained winds of 10–15 km/h, and urban heat retention. Slight divergences in humidity and exact frontal passage could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 31 августа?
23°C 27%
25°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
2%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 27%
25°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$87 Объем
2%
22°C
$51 Объем
26%
23°C
$0 Объем
27%
24°C
$0 Объем
26%
25°C
$0 Объем
27%
26°C
$0 Объем
26%
27°C
$0 Объем
26%
28°C
$329 Объем
<1%
29°C
$50 Объем
<1%
30°C
$55 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$93 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a cooling trend driven by peripheral flows from typhoon activity, with expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds moderating temperatures on August 31. Official and model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS show overnight lows clustered around 24–25°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines near 24°C amid a recent heatwave easing. Scientific factors differentiating the closely matched market outcomes (22–27°C) include variable model consensus on precipitation timing, which affects radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing from sustained winds of 10–15 km/h, and urban heat retention. Slight divergences in humidity and exact frontal passage could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$665Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a cooling trend driven by peripheral flows from typhoon activity, with expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds moderating temperatures on August 31. Official and model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS show overnight lows clustered around 24–25°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines near 24°C amid a recent heatwave easing. Scientific factors differentiating the closely matched market outcomes (22–27°C) include variable model consensus on precipitation timing, which affects radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing from sustained winds of 10–15 km/h, and urban heat retention. Slight divergences in humidity and exact frontal passage could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$665Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a cooling trend driven by peripheral flows from typhoon activity, with expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds moderating temperatures on August 31. Official and model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS show overnight lows clustered around 24–25°C, consistent with historical late-August baselines near 24°C amid a recent heatwave easing. Scientific factors differentiating the closely matched market outcomes (22–27°C) include variable model consensus on precipitation timing, which affects radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing from sustained winds of 10–15 km/h, and urban heat retention. Slight divergences in humidity and exact frontal passage could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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