Recent numerical weather prediction models show Wuhan transitioning from late-August warmth under northerly flow, with forecast highs for September 1 clustering around 28–30 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light precipitation. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average daily maxima near 30 °C begin a gradual seasonal decline. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on exact timing of any frontal passage create the tight market distribution among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer details and maximum temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 1 сентября?
29°C 28%
30°C 27%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
27%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 28%
30°C 27%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
27%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models show Wuhan transitioning from late-August warmth under northerly flow, with forecast highs for September 1 clustering around 28–30 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light precipitation. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average daily maxima near 30 °C begin a gradual seasonal decline. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on exact timing of any frontal passage create the tight market distribution among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer details and maximum temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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