Recent official forecasts from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 19, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting cooler air masses from higher latitudes amid a building high-pressure ridge. This aligns with below- or near-average seasonal temperatures noted in NIWA outlooks, following recent polar air intrusions that have kept daytime highs suppressed across the region. Cloud cover and isolated showers are expected to further limit solar heating, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-August in this windy coastal location. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 10–11°C range, reflecting trader assessment of these stable synoptic conditions and limited upside potential absent significant model shifts in the final 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 19 августа?
11°C 64%
10°C 25%
12°C 12%
9°C 2%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
25%
11°C
64%
12°C
12%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 64%
10°C 25%
12°C 12%
9°C 2%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
25%
11°C
64%
12°C
12%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 19, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting cooler air masses from higher latitudes amid a building high-pressure ridge. This aligns with below- or near-average seasonal temperatures noted in NIWA outlooks, following recent polar air intrusions that have kept daytime highs suppressed across the region. Cloud cover and isolated showers are expected to further limit solar heating, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-August in this windy coastal location. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 10–11°C range, reflecting trader assessment of these stable synoptic conditions and limited upside potential absent significant model shifts in the final 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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