Recent monsoon conditions in Lucknow, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and patchy rain or thundershowers, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 29–31°C peak on August 18. Official forecasts from agencies highlight suppressed daytime heating due to these factors, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by active southwest monsoon flow. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed observational trends of cooler, rain-influenced days against the narrow window for any intensification of solar radiation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 18 августа?
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$12,440 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,440 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
29%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$12,440 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,440 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$330 Объем
<1%
25°C
$630 Объем
<1%
26°C
$553 Объем
<1%
27°C
$395 Объем
3%
28°C
$840 Объем
13%
29°C
$1,274 Объем
29%
30°C
$3,153 Объем
34%
31°C
$1,436 Объем
20%
32°C
$2,234 Объем
6%
33°C
$1,201 Объем
1%
34°C or higher
$395 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions in Lucknow, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and patchy rain or thundershowers, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 29–31°C peak on August 18. Official forecasts from agencies highlight suppressed daytime heating due to these factors, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by active southwest monsoon flow. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed observational trends of cooler, rain-influenced days against the narrow window for any intensification of solar radiation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$12,440Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions in Lucknow, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and patchy rain or thundershowers, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 29–31°C peak on August 18. Official forecasts from agencies highlight suppressed daytime heating due to these factors, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by active southwest monsoon flow. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed observational trends of cooler, rain-influenced days against the narrow window for any intensification of solar radiation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,440Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions in Lucknow, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and patchy rain or thundershowers, form the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 29–31°C peak on August 18. Official forecasts from agencies highlight suppressed daytime heating due to these factors, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–32°C maxima tempered by active southwest monsoon flow. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed observational trends of cooler, rain-influenced days against the narrow window for any intensification of solar radiation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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