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Proposta previsões e probabilidades

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Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

21%

$152K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 10 dias

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

16%

$3M Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

18

Ends em 5 meses

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

57%

Reform

$5.3K Vol.

$685 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

92%

$382 Vol.

$395 Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

$7.7K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

77%

$616K Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

53%

Stripe

$83 Vol.

$354 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

ALIGN public sale total commitments?

ALIGN public sale total commitments?

7%

>$250k

$85.6K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

23

Ends em 16 dias

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

27%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$467 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

81%

Dana / White

$1.0K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

3rd largest private company end of June?

3rd largest private company end of June?

90%

OpenAI

$45.5K Vol.

$123K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

96%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$10.1K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

34%

Labour 15%+

$627 Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

99%

Ballroom

$10.4K Vol.

$241 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 6 horas

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

29

Ends há 3 meses

Largest private company end of June?

Largest private company end of June?

99%

SpaceX

$73.0K Vol.

$90.9K Liq.

6

Ends em 16 dias

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

16%

$65.5K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 meses

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

70%

↑$190B

$25.8K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

2nd largest private company end of June?

2nd largest private company end of June?

95%

Anthropic

$39.0K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Proposta.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Proposta that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Proposta predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.