Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard

icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard

Dillon Roberts 20%

Michael Johnstone 12%

Leanne Raw 12%

Chloe Foster 6.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Dillon Roberts 20%

Michael Johnstone 12%

Leanne Raw 12%

Chloe Foster 6.0%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Dillon Roberts

Dillon Roberts

$746 Vol.

20%

icon for Michael Johnstone

Michael Johnstone

$1,048 Vol.

12%

icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$3,645 Vol.

12%

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$1,203 Vol.

14%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$717 Vol.

3%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$864 Vol.

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,223
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,223
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Rick Shegog vencerá a próxima eleição para prefeito de West Tamar?

Rick Shegog vencerá a próxima eleição para prefeito de West Tamar?

53%
Sim
icon for Matthew Garwood vencerá a próxima eleição para prefeito de Launceston?

Matthew Garwood vencerá a próxima eleição para prefeito de Launceston?

54%
Sim
icon for Stephanie Cameron vencerá a próxima eleição para prefeito de Meander Valley?

Stephanie Cameron vencerá a próxima eleição para prefeito de Meander Valley?

54%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dillon Roberts" at 20%, followed by "Chloe Foster" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is "Dillon Roberts" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chloe Foster" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.