Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, consistently projected at four to six seats amid broader Arab party fragmentation. A late-August technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz has not produced sustained gains in surveys, while parallel efforts to revive a broader Joint List involving Hadash-Ta'al and Balad have shifted Arab vote shares without clear separation for Ra'am. Trader consensus around four, five, or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, list finalization ahead of the September 9 deadline, and competition within the Arab sector, where small swings in support can alter outcomes by one or two mandates. Historical patterns of Arab representation and bloc dynamics further contribute to the tight distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5 36%
4 35%
6 34%
<4 34%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
34%
4
35%
5
36%
6
34%
7
24%
8+
34%
5 36%
4 35%
6 34%
<4 34%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
34%
4
$0 Vol.
35%
5
$0 Vol.
36%
6
$0 Vol.
34%
7
$0 Vol.
24%
8+
$0 Vol.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, consistently projected at four to six seats amid broader Arab party fragmentation. A late-August technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz has not produced sustained gains in surveys, while parallel efforts to revive a broader Joint List involving Hadash-Ta'al and Balad have shifted Arab vote shares without clear separation for Ra'am. Trader consensus around four, five, or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, list finalization ahead of the September 9 deadline, and competition within the Arab sector, where small swings in support can alter outcomes by one or two mandates. Historical patterns of Arab representation and bloc dynamics further contribute to the tight distribution.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, consistently projected at four to six seats amid broader Arab party fragmentation. A late-August technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz has not produced sustained gains in surveys, while parallel efforts to revive a broader Joint List involving Hadash-Ta'al and Balad have shifted Arab vote shares without clear separation for Ra'am. Trader consensus around four, five, or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, list finalization ahead of the September 9 deadline, and competition within the Arab sector, where small swings in support can alter outcomes by one or two mandates. Historical patterns of Arab representation and bloc dynamics further contribute to the tight distribution.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, consistently projected at four to six seats amid broader Arab party fragmentation. A late-August technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz has not produced sustained gains in surveys, while parallel efforts to revive a broader Joint List involving Hadash-Ta'al and Balad have shifted Arab vote shares without clear separation for Ra'am. Trader consensus around four, five, or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, list finalization ahead of the September 9 deadline, and competition within the Arab sector, where small swings in support can alter outcomes by one or two mandates. Historical patterns of Arab representation and bloc dynamics further contribute to the tight distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions