Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu, the secular right-wing party led by Avigdor Lieberman, consistently projected at 8-10 seats amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Volatility stems from shifting alliances, including the August addition of MK Dan Illouz and list expansions, alongside Lieberman's push for opposition coordination to capture seats from the coalition without internal vote-splitting. Broader factors include competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters, debates over Haredi conscription, and right-wing mergers that could redistribute support near the 3.25% threshold. These elements sustain tight market probabilities across seat ranges, with separation likely hinging on final list submissions, turnout among key demographics, or late campaign developments affecting the anti-Netanyahu bloc.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado10-11 39%
8-9 38%
<6 38%
12+ 37%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
38%
6-7
31%
8-9
38%
10-11
39%
12+
37%
10-11 39%
8-9 38%
<6 38%
12+ 37%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
38%
6-7
$0 Vol.
31%
8-9
$0 Vol.
38%
10-11
$0 Vol.
39%
12+
$0 Vol.
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu, the secular right-wing party led by Avigdor Lieberman, consistently projected at 8-10 seats amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Volatility stems from shifting alliances, including the August addition of MK Dan Illouz and list expansions, alongside Lieberman's push for opposition coordination to capture seats from the coalition without internal vote-splitting. Broader factors include competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters, debates over Haredi conscription, and right-wing mergers that could redistribute support near the 3.25% threshold. These elements sustain tight market probabilities across seat ranges, with separation likely hinging on final list submissions, turnout among key demographics, or late campaign developments affecting the anti-Netanyahu bloc.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu, the secular right-wing party led by Avigdor Lieberman, consistently projected at 8-10 seats amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Volatility stems from shifting alliances, including the August addition of MK Dan Illouz and list expansions, alongside Lieberman's push for opposition coordination to capture seats from the coalition without internal vote-splitting. Broader factors include competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters, debates over Haredi conscription, and right-wing mergers that could redistribute support near the 3.25% threshold. These elements sustain tight market probabilities across seat ranges, with separation likely hinging on final list submissions, turnout among key demographics, or late campaign developments affecting the anti-Netanyahu bloc.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu, the secular right-wing party led by Avigdor Lieberman, consistently projected at 8-10 seats amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Volatility stems from shifting alliances, including the August addition of MK Dan Illouz and list expansions, alongside Lieberman's push for opposition coordination to capture seats from the coalition without internal vote-splitting. Broader factors include competition for secular and Russian-speaking voters, debates over Haredi conscription, and right-wing mergers that could redistribute support near the 3.25% threshold. These elements sustain tight market probabilities across seat ranges, with separation likely hinging on final list submissions, turnout among key demographics, or late campaign developments affecting the anti-Netanyahu bloc.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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