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icon for Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?

Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?

icon for Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?

Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,910 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$856 Vol.

3%

31 de dezembro

$1,053 Vol.

15%

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,910
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,910
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 14%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Petróleo venezuelano adicionado à Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.