Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party, including through repeated leadership purges and loyalty enforcement across the Politburo, Central Military Commission, and state institutions, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus against his removal before 2027. No designated successor has emerged ahead of the 21st Party Congress, expected later that year, and longstanding informal age norms have already been set aside to enable extended tenure. Recent high-level military investigations have further aligned elite incentives with continuity rather than contestation. While sudden health developments, elite fractures amid economic pressures, or major external shocks could still shift dynamics, current institutional controls and absence of visible rivals sustain expectations of stability through the period.