Redistricting has repositioned Texas’s 32nd congressional district as more favorable to Republican candidates, creating an open seat after Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson opted to run elsewhere. This shift underpins the trader consensus reflected in the current 81% Republican and 18.5% Democratic pricing. The Republican primary produced nominee Jace Yarbrough, who secured strong endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott following a runoff victory. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces structural headwinds in the newly configured district ahead of the November general election. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, consistent with the market’s implied probability and the absence of recent developments that would materially alter the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-32
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-32
$29,172 Vol.
$29,172 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
81%
Partido Democrata
20%
$29,172 Vol.
$29,172 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$27,236 Vol.
81%
Partido Democrata
$1,936 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has repositioned Texas’s 32nd congressional district as more favorable to Republican candidates, creating an open seat after Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson opted to run elsewhere. This shift underpins the trader consensus reflected in the current 81% Republican and 18.5% Democratic pricing. The Republican primary produced nominee Jace Yarbrough, who secured strong endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott following a runoff victory. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces structural headwinds in the newly configured district ahead of the November general election. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, consistent with the market’s implied probability and the absence of recent developments that would materially alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$29,172Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has repositioned Texas’s 32nd congressional district as more favorable to Republican candidates, creating an open seat after Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson opted to run elsewhere. This shift underpins the trader consensus reflected in the current 81% Republican and 18.5% Democratic pricing. The Republican primary produced nominee Jace Yarbrough, who secured strong endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott following a runoff victory. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces structural headwinds in the newly configured district ahead of the November general election. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, consistent with the market’s implied probability and the absence of recent developments that would materially alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,172Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has repositioned Texas’s 32nd congressional district as more favorable to Republican candidates, creating an open seat after Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson opted to run elsewhere. This shift underpins the trader consensus reflected in the current 81% Republican and 18.5% Democratic pricing. The Republican primary produced nominee Jace Yarbrough, who secured strong endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott following a runoff victory. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces structural headwinds in the newly configured district ahead of the November general election. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, consistent with the market’s implied probability and the absence of recent developments that would materially alter the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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