Republican incumbent John Carter holds a commanding position in the Texas 31st District race heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carter secured his primary nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from the opposing primary; both candidates now face the general election alongside a minor-party opponent. The district’s partisan composition, Carter’s long incumbency, and limited polling showing durable Republican advantages underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or significant health or turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
$35,965 Vol.
$35,965 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
9%
$35,965 Vol.
$35,965 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,167 Vol.
92%
Partido Democrata
$18,798 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Carter holds a commanding position in the Texas 31st District race heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carter secured his primary nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from the opposing primary; both candidates now face the general election alongside a minor-party opponent. The district’s partisan composition, Carter’s long incumbency, and limited polling showing durable Republican advantages underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or significant health or turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,965Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Carter holds a commanding position in the Texas 31st District race heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carter secured his primary nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from the opposing primary; both candidates now face the general election alongside a minor-party opponent. The district’s partisan composition, Carter’s long incumbency, and limited polling showing durable Republican advantages underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or significant health or turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,965Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Carter holds a commanding position in the Texas 31st District race heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carter secured his primary nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from the opposing primary; both candidates now face the general election alongside a minor-party opponent. The district’s partisan composition, Carter’s long incumbency, and limited polling showing durable Republican advantages underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or significant health or turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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