Recent polling in Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary shows incumbent Jared Moskowitz and challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie, with roughly 20% of likely voters undecided just days before the August 18 contest. The race has tightened from earlier leads for Moskowitz as Larkin gains among voters yet to cast ballots, while early voting favors the incumbent. District redistricting, ideological contrasts between the centrist representative and the progressive challenger, and outside spending have kept the contest competitive. Trader pricing across margin ranges reflects this uncertainty, with no candidate holding a decisive polling or structural edge entering the final stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMoskowitz 25%+ 49%
Moskowitz 15–20% 35%
Moskowitz 10–15% 34%
Moskowitz 5–10% 29%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
49%
Moskowitz 20–25%
50%
Moskowitz 15–20%
35%
Moskowitz 10–15%
34%
Moskowitz 5–10%
29%
Moskowitz <5%
19%
Larkin <5%
20%
Larkin 5–10%
28%
Larkin 10–15%
22%
Larkin 15–20%
10%
Larkin 20–25%
19%
Larkin 25%+
1%
Moskowitz 25%+ 49%
Moskowitz 15–20% 35%
Moskowitz 10–15% 34%
Moskowitz 5–10% 29%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
$76 Vol.
49%
Moskowitz 20–25%
$58 Vol.
50%
Moskowitz 15–20%
$31 Vol.
35%
Moskowitz 10–15%
$31 Vol.
34%
Moskowitz 5–10%
$15 Vol.
29%
Moskowitz <5%
$31 Vol.
19%
Larkin <5%
$31 Vol.
20%
Larkin 5–10%
$31 Vol.
28%
Larkin 10–15%
$31 Vol.
22%
Larkin 15–20%
$53 Vol.
10%
Larkin 20–25%
$31 Vol.
19%
Larkin 25%+
$119 Vol.
1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling in Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary shows incumbent Jared Moskowitz and challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie, with roughly 20% of likely voters undecided just days before the August 18 contest. The race has tightened from earlier leads for Moskowitz as Larkin gains among voters yet to cast ballots, while early voting favors the incumbent. District redistricting, ideological contrasts between the centrist representative and the progressive challenger, and outside spending have kept the contest competitive. Trader pricing across margin ranges reflects this uncertainty, with no candidate holding a decisive polling or structural edge entering the final stretch.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$541Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling in Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary shows incumbent Jared Moskowitz and challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie, with roughly 20% of likely voters undecided just days before the August 18 contest. The race has tightened from earlier leads for Moskowitz as Larkin gains among voters yet to cast ballots, while early voting favors the incumbent. District redistricting, ideological contrasts between the centrist representative and the progressive challenger, and outside spending have kept the contest competitive. Trader pricing across margin ranges reflects this uncertainty, with no candidate holding a decisive polling or structural edge entering the final stretch.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$541Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary shows incumbent Jared Moskowitz and challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie, with roughly 20% of likely voters undecided just days before the August 18 contest. The race has tightened from earlier leads for Moskowitz as Larkin gains among voters yet to cast ballots, while early voting favors the incumbent. District redistricting, ideological contrasts between the centrist representative and the progressive challenger, and outside spending have kept the contest competitive. Trader pricing across margin ranges reflects this uncertainty, with no candidate holding a decisive polling or structural edge entering the final stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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