Tennessee's 2026 U.S. Senate race features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch of their 2020 contest. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's established incumbency and fundraising, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and low historical crossover voting. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees without major disruptions. While a national political shift, candidate health event, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, structural barriers including partisan registration and turnout trends make significant movement improbable before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$28,754 Vol.
$28,754 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
96%
Democrata
2%
$28,754 Vol.
$28,754 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$18,890 Vol.
96%
Democrata
$9,864 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 U.S. Senate race features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch of their 2020 contest. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's established incumbency and fundraising, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and low historical crossover voting. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees without major disruptions. While a national political shift, candidate health event, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, structural barriers including partisan registration and turnout trends make significant movement improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$28,754Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 U.S. Senate race features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch of their 2020 contest. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's established incumbency and fundraising, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and low historical crossover voting. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees without major disruptions. While a national political shift, candidate health event, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, structural barriers including partisan registration and turnout trends make significant movement improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$28,754Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2026 U.S. Senate race features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch of their 2020 contest. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's established incumbency and fundraising, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and low historical crossover voting. Recent primary results confirmed both nominees without major disruptions. While a national political shift, candidate health event, or late scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, structural barriers including partisan registration and turnout trends make significant movement improbable before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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