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Eleições·Principal Da Casa

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Eleições·Principal Da Casa

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 91%

David Trone 9%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 91%

David Trone 9%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$4,804 Vol.

91%

David Trone

$3,022 Vol.

9%

Kiambo White

$3,224 Vol.

<1%

George Gluck

$2,122 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Krakower

$1,692 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$1,705 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,840 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,431 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, backed by consistent polling leads of 15 points or more, strong fundraising, and endorsements from party leaders. Former Rep. David Trone’s challenge, funded by tens of millions in personal loans and heavy ad spending, has narrowed but not closed the gap, with recent exchanges centering on campaign messaging, immigration votes, and accusations of misleading voters over titles and “re-elect” language. Minor candidates trail far behind in both visibility and resources. The market’s heavy weighting toward McClain Delaney reflects trader assessments of her incumbency advantages and sustained polling strength with the primary now days away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,840
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, backed by consistent polling leads of 15 points or more, strong fundraising, and endorsements from party leaders. Former Rep. David Trone’s challenge, funded by tens of millions in personal loans and heavy ad spending, has narrowed but not closed the gap, with recent exchanges centering on campaign messaging, immigration votes, and accusations of misleading voters over titles and “re-elect” language. Minor candidates trail far behind in both visibility and resources. The market’s heavy weighting toward McClain Delaney reflects trader assessments of her incumbency advantages and sustained polling strength with the primary now days away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,840
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April McClain Delaney" at 91%, followed by "David Trone" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $19.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "April McClain Delaney" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Trone" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.