Skip to main content
icon for Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar

Mauro Mendes 40%

Margareth Buzetti 27%

Beny Godoy 26%

Pedro Taques 25%

Polymarket
NOVO

Mauro Mendes 40%

Margareth Buzetti 27%

Beny Godoy 26%

Pedro Taques 25%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Mauro Mendes

Mauro Mendes

$640 Vol.

52%

icon for Margareth Buzetti

Margareth Buzetti

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Beny Godoy

Beny Godoy

$20 Vol.

26%

icon for Pedro Taques

Pedro Taques

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Janaina Riva

Janaina Riva

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Fávaro

Fávaro

$40 Vol.

22%

icon for Galvan

Galvan

$92 Vol.

8%

icon for Coronel Darwin

Coronel Darwin

$70 Vol.

6%

icon for Professor Nelson Ferreira

Professor Nelson Ferreira

$91 Vol.

6%

icon for Jose Medeiros

Jose Medeiros

$20 Vol.

29%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Mato Grosso’s 2026 Senate race stems from a crowded field of established names, where recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former Governor Mauro Mendes edging Janaína Riva in consolidated vote projections, with other contenders such as Carlos Fávaro trailing further back. Mendes’s decision to leave the governorship in March boosted his visibility and fundraising, while party alliances and regional economic issues continue to shape voter preferences ahead of the October election. The market’s closely matched prices reflect uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in the final stretch, with potential separation hinging on upcoming campaign events, endorsements from state legislators, and shifts in turnout among rural and agribusiness voters.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,034
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for first place in Mato Grosso’s 2026 Senate race stems from a crowded field of established names, where recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former Governor Mauro Mendes edging Janaína Riva in consolidated vote projections, with other contenders such as Carlos Fávaro trailing further back. Mendes’s decision to leave the governorship in March boosted his visibility and fundraising, while party alliances and regional economic issues continue to shape voter preferences ahead of the October election. The market’s closely matched prices reflect uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in the final stretch, with potential separation hinging on upcoming campaign events, endorsements from state legislators, and shifts in turnout among rural and agribusiness voters.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,034
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Reinaldo Azambuja receberá o maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul em 2026?

Reinaldo Azambuja receberá o maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul em 2026?

79%
Sim
icon for Janaina Riva receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Mato Grosso em 2026?

Janaina Riva receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Mato Grosso em 2026?

39%
Sim
icon for Capitão Contar ganhará a segunda maior votação na eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul em 2026?

Capitão Contar ganhará a segunda maior votação na eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul em 2026?

40%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mauro Mendes" at 52%, followed by "Jose Medeiros" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar" is "Mauro Mendes" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jose Medeiros" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Mato Grosso: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.