Roseana Sarney holds the strongest position in trader consensus for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her established polling lead and the political infrastructure of the Sarney family in the state. Her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former governor consolidated support ahead of the October election, where two Senate seats are contested. Recent surveys, including IPPI polling, place her ahead of rivals such as Weverton Rocha and others in the low-to-mid 20s, underscoring advantages in name recognition and historical voter base. Lower probabilities for candidates like Eliziane Gama, Fufuca, and Lahesio Bonfim align with their trailing positions in available data and limited momentum in the current cycle. The market remains open to shifts from late-campaign developments or alliances before voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRoseana Sarney 71%
Weverton Rocha 7.6%
Eliziane Gama 6%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 4.0%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Roseana Sarney
71%
Weverton Rocha
8%
Eliziane Gama
6%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
4%
Enilton Rodrigues
4%
Wilson Leite
4%
Raimundo Moreira
3%
Cidônio Gonçalves
3%
Fufuca
3%
Lahesio Bonfim
3%
Simplício Araújo
2%
Roseana Sarney 71%
Weverton Rocha 7.6%
Eliziane Gama 6%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 4.0%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Roseana Sarney
$2,184 Vol.
71%
Weverton Rocha
$134 Vol.
8%
Eliziane Gama
$216 Vol.
6%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$213 Vol.
4%
Enilton Rodrigues
$112 Vol.
4%
Wilson Leite
$214 Vol.
4%
Raimundo Moreira
$213 Vol.
3%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$197 Vol.
3%
Fufuca
$128 Vol.
3%
Lahesio Bonfim
$199 Vol.
3%
Simplício Araújo
$192 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney holds the strongest position in trader consensus for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her established polling lead and the political infrastructure of the Sarney family in the state. Her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former governor consolidated support ahead of the October election, where two Senate seats are contested. Recent surveys, including IPPI polling, place her ahead of rivals such as Weverton Rocha and others in the low-to-mid 20s, underscoring advantages in name recognition and historical voter base. Lower probabilities for candidates like Eliziane Gama, Fufuca, and Lahesio Bonfim align with their trailing positions in available data and limited momentum in the current cycle. The market remains open to shifts from late-campaign developments or alliances before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$4,002Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney holds the strongest position in trader consensus for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her established polling lead and the political infrastructure of the Sarney family in the state. Her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former governor consolidated support ahead of the October election, where two Senate seats are contested. Recent surveys, including IPPI polling, place her ahead of rivals such as Weverton Rocha and others in the low-to-mid 20s, underscoring advantages in name recognition and historical voter base. Lower probabilities for candidates like Eliziane Gama, Fufuca, and Lahesio Bonfim align with their trailing positions in available data and limited momentum in the current cycle. The market remains open to shifts from late-campaign developments or alliances before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,002Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney holds the strongest position in trader consensus for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her established polling lead and the political infrastructure of the Sarney family in the state. Her July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement as an MDB federal deputy and former governor consolidated support ahead of the October election, where two Senate seats are contested. Recent surveys, including IPPI polling, place her ahead of rivals such as Weverton Rocha and others in the low-to-mid 20s, underscoring advantages in name recognition and historical voter base. Lower probabilities for candidates like Eliziane Gama, Fufuca, and Lahesio Bonfim align with their trailing positions in available data and limited momentum in the current cycle. The market remains open to shifts from late-campaign developments or alliances before voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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