Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflecting his strong name recognition as the outgoing two-term governor and the influence of the state's prominent Barbalho political network. Recent Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show him well ahead of competitors such as Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino, and Chicão, with margins that have widened in the final months before the October 2026 vote. Traders price in these polling trends, MDB alliances, and the absence of major late-stage disruptions as key drivers of the current consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in voter coalitions, high-impact campaign events, or unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting frontrunner momentum before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHelder 91%
Gizelle Freitas 2.7%
Celso Sabino 2.3%
Zequinha Marinho 2.3%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Helder
91%
Gizelle Freitas
3%
Celso Sabino
2%
Zequinha Marinho
2%
Conti
2%
Chicão
2%
Breno Guimarães
2%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Delegado Éder Mauro
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Willem da Silva
1%
Helder 91%
Gizelle Freitas 2.7%
Celso Sabino 2.3%
Zequinha Marinho 2.3%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Helder
$998 Vol.
91%
Gizelle Freitas
$330 Vol.
3%
Celso Sabino
$287 Vol.
2%
Zequinha Marinho
$287 Vol.
2%
Conti
$350 Vol.
2%
Chicão
$286 Vol.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$342 Vol.
2%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$307 Vol.
2%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$293 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$327 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$339 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflecting his strong name recognition as the outgoing two-term governor and the influence of the state's prominent Barbalho political network. Recent Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show him well ahead of competitors such as Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino, and Chicão, with margins that have widened in the final months before the October 2026 vote. Traders price in these polling trends, MDB alliances, and the absence of major late-stage disruptions as key drivers of the current consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in voter coalitions, high-impact campaign events, or unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting frontrunner momentum before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,146Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflecting his strong name recognition as the outgoing two-term governor and the influence of the state's prominent Barbalho political network. Recent Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show him well ahead of competitors such as Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino, and Chicão, with margins that have widened in the final months before the October 2026 vote. Traders price in these polling trends, MDB alliances, and the absence of major late-stage disruptions as key drivers of the current consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in voter coalitions, high-impact campaign events, or unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting frontrunner momentum before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,146Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflecting his strong name recognition as the outgoing two-term governor and the influence of the state's prominent Barbalho political network. Recent Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys show him well ahead of competitors such as Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino, and Chicão, with margins that have widened in the final months before the October 2026 vote. Traders price in these polling trends, MDB alliances, and the absence of major late-stage disruptions as key drivers of the current consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected shifts in voter coalitions, high-impact campaign events, or unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting frontrunner momentum before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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