Skip to main content
icon for Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar

Eduardo Braga 69%

Plinio Valério 23%

Wilson Lima 22%

Capitão Alberto Neto 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

Eduardo Braga 69%

Plinio Valério 23%

Wilson Lima 22%

Capitão Alberto Neto 18%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$119 Vol.

63%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$20 Vol.

23%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$50 Vol.

19%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$59 Vol.

18%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$55 Vol.

7%

icon for Professora Evany

Professora Evany

$54 Vol.

7%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$83 Vol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking re-election in the October 4, 2026 Amazonas Senate contest, holds the clearest lead among declared candidates, supported by recent polling that shows him extending his margin over challengers such as Capitão Alberto Neto (PL). A DMP survey released August 17 indicated Braga at 27.8% on average for the two seats, ahead by double digits, reflecting his established state network, former governorship, and coalition ties including PSD and Republicans. Other contenders including Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima, and lower-polling names face fragmented support ahead of the registration deadline. Traders' pricing aligns with these trends, where incumbency advantages and alliance strength have consolidated early sentiment around Braga's position for first place.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$479
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking re-election in the October 4, 2026 Amazonas Senate contest, holds the clearest lead among declared candidates, supported by recent polling that shows him extending his margin over challengers such as Capitão Alberto Neto (PL). A DMP survey released August 17 indicated Braga at 27.8% on average for the two seats, ahead by double digits, reflecting his established state network, former governorship, and coalition ties including PSD and Republicans. Other contenders including Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima, and lower-polling names face fragmented support ahead of the registration deadline. Traders' pricing aligns with these trends, where incumbency advantages and alliance strength have consolidated early sentiment around Braga's position for first place.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$479
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto vai receber o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Amazonas em 2026?

Capitão Alberto Neto vai receber o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Amazonas em 2026?

46%
Sim
icon for Helder ganhará a maioria dos votos na eleição para o Senado do Pará em 2026?

Helder ganhará a maioria dos votos na eleição para o Senado do Pará em 2026?

91%
Sim
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

62%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eduardo Braga" at 63%, followed by "Plinio Valério" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar" is "Eduardo Braga" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Plinio Valério" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.